Interest-rate futures show traders now assign an 11% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates this year, up from 5% earlier in the day and 0% on Tuesday, according to CME Group data, while the chance of a rate cut is around 2%. The shift followed hawkish signals from Fed officials on Wednesday. The Fed kept policy statement language suggesting a cut remains more likely than a hike, but three Fed presidents objected to that wording. Fed chair Jerome Powell indicated the language coul

2026-04-30

Interest-rate futures show traders now assign an 11% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates this year, up from 5% earlier in the day and 0% on Tuesday, according to CME Group data, while the chance of a rate cut is around 2%. The shift followed hawkish signals from Fed officials on Wednesday. The Fed kept policy statement language suggesting a cut remains more likely than a hike, but three Fed presidents objected to that wording. Fed chair Jerome Powell indicated the language could be removed at the next meeting as inflation remains elevated.