ABN AMRO Bank analysts said in a note that markets remain caught in a "news
roulette", driven by swings in the perceived likelihood that the US and Iran
could reach a near-term deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. "We have been
trying to see through the day-to-day noise," they said. The analysts did not
express a view on when an agreement might be reached and instead placed their
baseline scenario on the outcome — namely when energy supplies might fully
normalize and thereby allow prices to decline sustainably.