UOB economists said in a report that despite the government’s recently announced
fiscal package, growth headwinds remain in Thailand. Domestic demand is still
uneven, and the risk of an energy shock is weighing on consumer confidence and
employment. The new co-payment program, designed to ease living costs and
stimulate local economies, should be viewed as a targeted fiscal shock absorber
rather than a conventional demand-boosting stimulus. UOB maintains forecasts for
Thailand GDP growth of 1.5% in 2026 and 2.4% in 2027, compared with a 2.4%
increase recorded in 2025.