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ONS: UK GDP fell 0.1% MoM in April, matching economists' forecasts, with the Iran war damping activity. April weakness followed an outsized March rebound driven by consumer petrol stockpiling and manufacturers front‑loading production ahead of expected energy-price pressure. Three-month rolling GDP to April rose 0.7% versus the prior three months, also in line with forecasts. Since late February, attacks on energy infrastructure and a partial blockade of the Strait of Hormuz have driven oil prices sharply higher. The weak April print raises near-term political risk for Prime Minister Starmer ahead of next week's by-election, where an Andy Burnham victory could trigger a leadership challenge.

UK April seasonally adjusted trade deficit £8.435 bln, versus forecast £5.744 bln; prior £9.658 bln deficit.