Orient Securities research note says restraint by the US and Iran has improved
expectations for Strait of Hormuz transit, creating a near-term window for the
chemical sector. The firm views chemical fundamentals and valuations as close to
a trough and recommends prioritizing sub-sectors and stocks with strong Q2
earnings that can support valuations during sector volatility. It flags
phosphate chemicals as a recovery opportunity after a 50,000-ton sulfur cargo
transited the Strait of Hormuz to a southern Chinese port, a signal likely to
improve phosphate producers’ profit outlook. Recommended plays include MDI
leader Wanhua Chemical, PVC-related names, leading refining & petrochemical
firms, and agrochemical tech/service leaders. Key risks are demand falling short
of expectations, policy uncertainty and large oil-price swings.