Monday — Data: Swiss May consumer confidence; euro-area Apr seasonally adjusted
trade balance and IP month-on-month; Canada Apr wholesale sales; US June NY Fed
manufacturing index, NAHB housing market index, May industrial production
month-on-month; China May total electricity consumption YoY (publication
tentative). Market impact: CNY600bn six‑month outright reverse repo matures; ECB
President Lagarde speaks; G7 summit opens (to Jun 17). Tuesday — Data/events:
China May retail sales and industrial production (industrial value added); BOJ
and RBA rate decisions (market watching for a BOJ hike); German/euro ZEW; US ADP
payrolls, May housing starts and permits, import PPI. China releases NBS monthly
housing price report; BOJ and RBA hold post-decision pressers (Deputy governor
Uchida and RBA chair Bullock scheduled). Wednesday — Data: US API/EIA oil
inventories, May retail sales, pending home sales, Apr business inventories; UK
May CPI and RPI; euro-area May final CPI. Events: IEA monthly oil market report;
Lujiazui Forum (Jun 17–18). Thursday — Macro/policy: FOMC decision and SEP, Fed
chair Warsh’s first post-meeting press conference (market-moving for US
rate-path and dot plot); US initial jobless claims, Philly Fed, Conference Board
leading indicators; EIA gas inventory. Europe: SNB and BoE rate decisions and
minutes; UK unemployment data; euro-area Apr adjusted current account. China:
May share of RMB in global SWIFT payments published. Domestic fuel price
adjustment window opens. Note: major domestic exchanges suspend night trading.
Friday — Data/market structure: US Baker Hughes rig count to Jun 19; Japan May
core CPI; Germany May PPI; UK public borrowing and retail sales; Canada Apr
retail sales. Market hours: NYSE, HKEX and Taiwan exchanges closed; CME and ICE
to close select futures early (Beijing time Jun 20: CME
metals/energy/FX/index/Treasury futures end 01:00; ICE Brent ends 01:30);
mainland equity and domestic futures markets closed.
