Tohru Sasaki, chief strategist at Fukuoka Financial Group and former BOJ
official, said markets were surprised by a slight reduction in JGB purchase size
for the period after April next year—markets had expected no change—and that the
BOJ then held volumes steady. He said focus should be on how BOJ Deputy Governor
Uchida frames future policy at the press conference; Uchida is unlikely to
signal any major shift and markets may interpret his remarks as dovish. Sasaki
warned the Finance Ministry could intervene if the yen stays weak, including on
the day of a BOJ rate hike. He added Governor Ueda’s health is a key variable:
if Ueda were replaced for health reasons, the successor would likely be dovish.