Schroder Investment senior economist George Brown said the Bank of England is buying time by keeping the policy rate unchanged and that the threshold for further hikes remains high. He said a weak labour market and tepid growth should limit second‑round effects from energy price spikes and that a preliminary deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz should reduce some extreme upside energy risk, but warned the BoE could still be forced to act if inflation expectations continue to rise.

2026-06-18

Schroder Investment senior economist George Brown said the Bank of England is buying time by keeping the policy rate unchanged and that the threshold for further hikes remains high. He said a weak labour market and tepid growth should limit second‑round effects from energy price spikes and that a preliminary deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz should reduce some extreme upside energy risk, but warned the BoE could still be forced to act if inflation expectations continue to rise.