S&P Global Energy said 78 vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on June 24, the largest single-day passage since hostilities involving the US, Israel and Iran began. This month’s daily average transits have recovered to roughly 57% of pre-conflict levels. The transit rebound, together with multi-country autumn/winter crude restocking, has driven international tanker freight sharply higher. Domestically the impact is mixed: shipping companies have seen risk premia fall as route tensions ease and

2026-06-26

S&P Global Energy said 78 vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on June 24, the largest single-day passage since hostilities involving the US, Israel and Iran began. This month’s daily average transits have recovered to roughly 57% of pre-conflict levels. The transit rebound, together with multi-country autumn/winter crude restocking, has driven international tanker freight sharply higher. Domestically the impact is mixed: shipping companies have seen risk premia fall as route tensions ease and higher rates lift earnings, while refiners face margin pressure as rising sea freight increases landed crude costs. Many Chinese refiners are expediting crude replenishment to use the current window.

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2026-06-26

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2026-06-26

U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell after oil dropped more than 3% and markets repriced the U.S. rate outlook. CME FedWatch shows a 42% chance of one Fed hike this year; the probability of a second hike fell to 28% from 34% a week earlier as inflation expectations cooled. A Wall Street Journal survey forecasts the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, due at 10:00 a.m. ET (22:00 Beijing), to rise to 49 from 44.8.