IMF首席经济学家古兰沙：如果停火无法维持，全球经济显然面临下行风险。

S&P says U.S. outlook is stable, citing expectations of continued robust U.S. growth and monetary policy that is credible and effective.

Iran on Saturday launched drone strikes on Bahrain and attacked a vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, an action described as likely retaliation for a U.S. overnight strike. U.S. Central Command said on June 26 it had struck Iranian targets in response to Iran’s attacks on merchant ships. The International Maritime Organization said Saturday it will expand a transit lane near Oman to allow two-way traffic; Tehran views the strait as a bargaining chip in ongoing talks with Washington, a dynamic that underscores risks of further escalation.