美元指数DXY在非农公布后跌至两周低点100.58。

The US economy added 57,000 nonfarm payrolls in June, below Wall Street forecasts, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Thursday. The gain followed three months of upside surprises and fell sharply from May’s downward-revised 129,000; it was also below the Bloomberg survey median of 115,000. The report signals a marked cooling in the labor market; the unemployment rate edged down to 4.2% from 4.3% in May. Despite the slowdown, payroll gains remain well above a 2025 target of average 10,000 annual job additions. Investors cut Fed tightening expectations, the dollar weakened, and futures now price a Fed rate increase in December, versus October previously.

Gold hit a daily high in European trade and extended a steady rebound after a modest dollar pullback, but remains capped inside the prior session's range as elevated Fed rate-hike expectations and geopolitical risk support the dollar. Traders are sidelined ahead of US nonfarm payrolls. CME FedWatch prices about a 64% chance of a September Fed hike and roughly an 85% chance of at least one hike by year-end. Fed chair Kevin Warsh reinforced the 2% inflation target in remarks Wednesday. Technically, gold trades below the 100-period moving average, reinforcing a near-term bearish bias.