巴基斯坦边疆军团前指挥官、退役中将Tariq Khan表示，特朗普已将美国及其中东地区盟友推入对伊政策的“死胡同”。近期暴力升级与特朗普无力“将自己的意志强加于谈判结果”密切相关。美国与伊朗签署的备忘录，是美国重大失败的鲜明证词。这也是特朗普行为反复无常、情绪化且古怪的原因之一，因为这场战争尚未找到政治解决方案。在谈及美伊再次爆发冲突时，khan称特朗普已无牌可打。美国尝试了空袭行动，但失败了；特朗普还曾暗示要发动地面攻击，但若要实施地面行动，至少需要集结约30万兵力。特朗普或许想抽身离开这场冲突，这或许是实现即时和平的唯一途径，但他做不到。Khan补充道：“特朗普是否被以色列利用了？他是否受到了威胁、勒索或胁迫，被迫去做他现在明知无法取胜的事情？我们不得而知。”

巴林内政部：警报已启动。

South Africa plans to rebuild a strategic petroleum reserve to mitigate supply risk, the Minerals Resources and Energy Department (DMRE) said in a July 9 draft policy paper for public comment. DMRE estimates a current shortfall of about 10 mln bbl and proposes a 60-day buffer—roughly 36 mln bbl based on EIA’s estimate of 600,000 bpd—split about two-thirds crude and one-third products. National Treasury and the state oil company will design financing and guarantee mechanisms for the reserve. Under the plan, licensed wholesalers and importers would be required to hold stocks equivalent to 21 days’ demand. South Africa last expanded emergency stocks in the 1970s with the Saldanha Bay facility (capacity ~45 mln bbl).