美国短期利率期货显示，美联储7月加息概率约为45%，较周一早些时候的35%有所上升。

CNN reported President Trump on Monday described the U.S. restart of strikes on Iran as a "military conflict", denied it marked a new long-term phase and refused to set a timeline for how long the fighting would continue. He said U.S. actions have substantially degraded Iranian capabilities but that Iran would continue to resist, and noted the campaign has already exceeded the administration's initial four-to-six-week timetable. Trump offered no exit plan, compared the operation's four-month duration to Vietnam's 19-year war, and said he ultimately expects to negotiate with Iran while acknowledging a near-term deal is unlikely.

Shenzhen railways said the 2026 summer travel period began July 1 and passenger demand has remained strong. Through July 10 the network handled 4.9846 mln passenger arrivals and departures. Station breakdown: Shenzhen North 3.3439 mln; Shenzhen Station 0.5409 mln; Shenzhen East 0.3960 mln; Futian 0.3442 mln, up 31.74% YoY.