CITIC Securities says in a research note that with macro tail risks easing, AI
is again the key variable for U.S. tech stocks in H2. Recent sharp market moves
have been noisy, but investor views on AI are normalizing and near-term ROI
focus is intensifying. Into H2, AI monetization pace, sustainability of big-tech
AI CAPEX and AI value-chain allocation will dominate market debate; elevated
volatility is likely to persist. Market emphasis should be on hyperscalers and
application software/internet names where revenue growth has troughed and is
rebounding; exercise caution on cybersecurity and foundational software stocks
with high expectations. Hardware semiconductor trading should narrow toward
short-term, high-certainty opportunities.