Suren Thiru of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales said
June’s slowdown in U.K. inflation is likely temporary as Ofgem’s planned energy
price-cap rise will probably reverse the improvement and could push headline
inflation above 3%. He said weak growth may limit second-round effects but
escalating tensions with Iran make 4% possible; today’s data have ended
prospects of a Bank of England rate rise in June, and high inflation could
deepen the cost-of-living crisis and become a bigger political and economic
problem.