DBRS Morningstar analyst Julia Specht said UK public finances remain tight and credit quality depends on whether the government can implement a credible economic and fiscal plan within constrained fiscal space. Public sector net borrowing in June fell 33.1% YoY to £16.0bn (US$21.4bn), but fiscal year-to-date borrowing through June is £2.7bn above the OBR forecast. Specht warned the key risk is whether new prime minister Burnham can advance policy objectives without undermining fiscal credibility

UK's new prime minister Burnham has dropped consideration of raising the income tax personal allowance, people familiar with the matter said, aiming to signal fiscal discipline to a skeptical bond market. He had earlier floated increasing the current £12,570 (~$17,000) threshold, which would have cut taxes for millions, but the government is not including an increase in initial measures to tackle living costs. The personal allowance has been frozen for five years; inflation-driven wage growth has widened the tax base via fiscal drag.

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