ONS data show UK retail sales rose 1.0% MoM in June (consensus -0.3%) and 4.2%
YoY (consensus 2.3%). ONS senior statistician Hannah Finselbach said demand was
strong for outdoor goods, air conditioners and clothing, and online sales of
sports goods were robust. The report notes household inflation has fallen to its
lowest in over a year as fuel and food prices decline, and labour market
weakness is showing tentative signs of stabilising. ONS cautioned the recovery
remains fragile; the recent breakdown of a US–Iran ceasefire has revived
concerns about higher energy bills and rising mortgage costs.