Oil slumped at Monday’s open as traders reassessed Middle East supply risk after the US and Iran paused reciprocal strikes. Brent futures fell about 6% to near $91/bbl and WTI dropped below $84/bbl. European gas slid as much as 7.8%. The US suspended strikes late Friday after 13 days of operations; Iran’s army said Tehran had paused its responses. Yemen’s Houthi movement said it struck ARAMCO facilities at Jazan and Yanbu on Saturday; Riyadh and ARAMCO did not immediately confirm. The conflict h

2026-07-27

Oil slumped at Monday’s open as traders reassessed Middle East supply risk after the US and Iran paused reciprocal strikes. Brent futures fell about 6% to near $91/bbl and WTI dropped below $84/bbl. European gas slid as much as 7.8%. The US suspended strikes late Friday after 13 days of operations; Iran’s army said Tehran had paused its responses. Yemen’s Houthi movement said it struck ARAMCO facilities at Jazan and Yanbu on Saturday; Riyadh and ARAMCO did not immediately confirm. The conflict has spread from the Strait of Hormuz to the Red Sea; Brent is up roughly 30% this month and briefly topped $100/bbl last week. The near five‑month-old hostilities, thin global spare capacity and rising refined-product prices have intensified concerns about upward pressure on global inflation, and markets questioned the US administration’s next move.

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2026-07-26

US President Trump on the 24th ordered US forces not to strike Iran, ending a 13-day run of strikes, US sources said. Qin Tian, deputy director of the Middle East Institute at the China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, said the pause is likely a tactical adjustment rather than a strategic shift. The duration of the halt, whether strikes will resume, or whether decisions to escalate will recur remain uncertain. Qin said the move should produce a short-term lull in US‑Iran milita

2026-07-27

Goldman Sachs analysts expect the Fed to leave the federal funds rate unchanged at this week’s meeting and say market reaction will depend heavily on how Fed chair KEVIN WARSH frames the decision and the path forward. They warn that a hold without clear guidance on the economic outlook or the Fed’s reaction function could destabilize the currently stable long-end US Treasury curve and the contained inflation risk premium. Money markets price a 31.5% chance of a hike this week, though the market