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Economists expect the Bank of England to adopt a hawkish tone but leave Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% at Thursday’s MPC meeting, despite renewed Middle East hostilities and a fresh energy-price spike. Since the MPC’s June meeting the collapse of a US–Iran truce has pushed oil back toward $100/bbl and European gas to its highest levels since the conflict began; continued Gulf shipping disruption could lift oil further. UK GDP rose 0.7% in the three months to May. CPI has undershot forecasts for three months and fell to 2.6% in June; wage growth is slowing and food inflation has eased, giving the MPC scope to hold rates while warning it stands ready to tighten if energy shocks intensify or become persistent.

俄罗斯国防部：俄罗斯武装部队夜间继续对用于向乌克兰武装部队运送物资的乌克兰港口实施打击。在尼古拉耶夫港口，两艘正在卸载军用物资的货船遭到俄军攻击型无人机袭击。