Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group senior FX strategist Lloyd Chan said in a
research note that if the FOMC delivers a "slightly hawkish" hold, the dollar is
likely to be supported. Their baseline assumes a hawkish-tilted hold in which
the Fed keeps rates unchanged but underscores elevated inflation risks. That
stance could bolster U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar and broadly weigh on
Asian currencies. Continued Fed emphasis on keeping rates higher for longer
would keep the risk balance tilted toward dollar resilience.