Kevin Warsh, Federal Reserve chair, said he references a broader range of inf data than the PCE alone to assess progress toward the 2% target.

布伦特原油站上88美元/桶，日内涨7.40%。

JP Morgan sees a 50% probability the Fed holds rates with a hawkish tilt — its baseline — which would leave the S&P 500 roughly flat to down 0.5%. A 28% chance of a hold with a dovish tilt is judged the most bullish scenario, potentially lifting the S&P 500 up to about 1%. A 20% probability of a 25bp rate hike could drive the S&P 500 down roughly 1.5–2%, with the Nasdaq likely to underperform.