In a recent interview Trump said he had been briefed on an incident in Egypt and would strike those responsible "very hard." He said Iran had asked the US not to attack but the US would "give Iran a little lesson" in response to an attack on a US base in Jordan, and added "we'll see" if an Iran deal can be reached. He also said he wants Zelensky to end the war in Ukraine.

利率决议即将公布，黄金暂时按兵不动！​《大有作V》栏目更新，3分钟解读国际金走势>>

The Fed will announce its July rate decision at 02:00, with the chair's press conference at 02:30. Markets put roughly a 30% chance on a hike versus 70% on a hold and are pricing a modest bias toward tightening. Pricing implies the possibility of one-to-three dissents in favor of a hike, and the chair is expected to strongly reiterate a zero-tolerance stance on inflation overshoots. Elevated US–Iran tensions are cited as upside inflation risk, while the Fed's reduced forward guidance increases uncertainty around the path of policy.