Huatai Securities says China’s technology market is now closer to a "trading
bottom emerging." Rationale: 1) correction space has become ample, with core
themes retracing into oversold ranges typical of high-elasticity sectors; 2)
domestic and offshore leveraged trading funds have largely cleared out,
reversing all Q2 inflows, and US hedge funds and Korean leveraged positions have
contracted from extreme levels; 3) recent selling pressure remains heavy and no
major new buying has appeared. The critical window for a sustainable rebound is
late August, when interim results, NVIDIA’s earnings and redemption pressures
will jointly determine whether tech can start a new primary advance.
Positioning: keep dividend names as base holdings; in a tech rebound prioritize
semiconductor equipment and other names with high earnings certainty; for
non-core exposure focus on stocks with mid-year report improvement, such as
brokerages and innovative drugmakers.