After a historic US-Japan joint intervention, markets are watching whether the
yen can sustain gains and drive USD/JPY below the 155 level. Strategists say 155
is the key test: April–May interventions briefly pushed USD/JPY toward 155
before the pair reversed, underscoring that official action may only buy time.
BofA Securities’ chief Japan FX and rates strategist Shusuke Yamada warned that
failure to breach 155 could prompt market views that policymakers have exhausted
tools and that continued breaks below 155 would flip market logic from
buy-the-dip to sell-the-rally. Wells Fargo strategist Chiddu Narayanan said a
move below 155 would raise the risk of a yen short squeeze; even partial
covering could generate significant yen buying and, as leveraged accounts cut
exposure, USD/JPY could retrace deeper, possibly toward 152.