Austrian former defence attaché and security analyst Wolfgang Pustai said an
agreement on the Strait of Hormuz could be reached today or Thursday but it is
too early to conclude. He said mediators are still clarifying key terms in a
weak memorandum of understanding that helped trigger renewed violence. Pustai
said the US would likely accept an Iran–Oman deal that confirms no transit fees
and only charges for maritime services, but would reject any Iranian attempt to
levy large transit fees that would violate the UN Convention on the Law of the
Sea (UNCLOS) because of the precedent it would set for other strategic
chokepoints. He described Trump’s inconsistent statements as an information‑war
strategy targeted at three audiences — Republican voters, Iranians and
international observers — and warned that reopening the Strait would be an
important step but would not resolve the wider regional conflict.