Investors, after release of the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting minutes, are increasingly focused on a faster-than-expected tightening path, boosting JGB yields on Monday. The 10-year JGB yield rose about 2.5bps to 2.810%; the 2-year hit a roughly 31-year high of 1.620%; the 5-year reached a record 2.090%. Totan Research and Totan ICAP show market-implied September rate-hike odds at 66% as of Monday afternoon, up from about 30% at month-end.

2026-08-10

Investors, after release of the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting minutes, are increasingly focused on a faster-than-expected tightening path, boosting JGB yields on Monday. The 10-year JGB yield rose about 2.5bps to 2.810%; the 2-year hit a roughly 31-year high of 1.620%; the 5-year reached a record 2.090%. Totan Research and Totan ICAP show market-implied September rate-hike odds at 66% as of Monday afternoon, up from about 30% at month-end.