UK employers increased layoffs in July as domestic and external uncertainty kept
hiring muted. ONS data showed employees fell by 13,000 in July and vacancies
continued to decline. The unemployment rate remained at 4.9% in the three months
to June, but the ONS warned data quality has deteriorated due to collection
errors. Private-sector regular pay excluding bonuses slowed to 2.8% YoY in the
three months to June from 2.9%, the weakest pace in about six years. Firms cited
heightened uncertainty from the Iran war and incoming PM Burnham’s first budget
later this year; jobs have fallen over the past two years amid a weak economy
and Labour government increases in payroll taxes and the minimum wage.