Rapid rises in US Treasury yields are a key risk to Asia's AI-led stock rally,
underscoring tech firms' sensitivity to higher financing costs. In the past five
years, during the 20 weeks when the 10-year Treasury yield rose at least 20 bps
in a single week, the MSCI Asia Pacific index fell in 17 of those weeks, with an
average decline of 1.7%. With investor concern about US fiscal health pushing
global bond losses wider, the transmission from bond volatility to Asian markets
has strengthened, Vantage Global Prime analyst Hebe Chen said, adding that
Taiwan and South Korea are increasingly linked to the US tech cycle and
cross-border flows. Recent Asian gains have been concentrated in tech and AI —
the segments most exposed to rising capital costs, higher discount rates, FX
swings and global macro stress.