BofA says a surge in AI-driven capex and a stronger economic outlook have tilted investor preference toward European equities over US names. Its survey found ~47% of fund managers expect European stocks to slightly outperform US stocks over the next 12 months — the highest since February when the Iran war began. About 97% of respondents expect Europe to avoid recession, the strongest reading since 2007. More than three-quarters said further equity gains would be driven mainly by upward revisions

2026-08-19

BofA says a surge in AI-driven capex and a stronger economic outlook have tilted investor preference toward European equities over US names. Its survey found ~47% of fund managers expect European stocks to slightly outperform US stocks over the next 12 months — the highest since February when the Iran war began. About 97% of respondents expect Europe to avoid recession, the strongest reading since 2007. More than three-quarters said further equity gains would be driven mainly by upward revisions to corporate earnings. BofA strategist Andreas Bruckner said the bank is refocusing on pro‑Europe themes that were temporarily stalled by the Iran war.

其他消息
2026-08-19

Traders said the Reserve Bank of India may be selling dollars to limit rupee depreciation.

2026-08-19

高盛交易台主管Rich Privorotsky认为,当前长端利率压力已经呈现全球化特征:经济数据走弱可以推动短端利率下降,但长端债券仍可能持续承压。日本可能是这一矛盾最清晰的案例:日本10年期国债收益率已升至约2.94%,达到30年来高位,市场也在增加对日本央行更快收紧政策的定价。 日本当前同时希望维持经济和股市增长、稳定汇率、继续扩张财政,并控制债券收益率曲线。但Privorotsky认为,这几个目标正在变得越来越难以兼容。财政扩张和更高名义增长会推升长期利率,但更激进的央行紧缩又会增加经济和金融体系的压力。 他的判断是,日本最终可能需要接受更强的货币收紧,但经历了数十年的通缩后,这条路径在政治和结构上都很困难。 日本市场正在提前反映一个更普遍的问题:当财政扩张和资本需求持续上升时,央行对长端利率的控制力会明显下降。