China International Capital Co said external narratives driving the market
remain short-term and stage-specific, and the A-share recovery that began in
late July is likely to continue. Market volatility has risen from external
shocks; dividend-yielding stocks outperformed on the 19th. As risk appetite
gradually recovers and the earnings peak approaches, focus on areas and
companies with higher earnings certainty. Two main themes: 1) Selective growth
exposure in technology: post-correction crowding in tech has eased. High-growth
subsectors where revenue-side expansion can offset denominator pressure—AI
infrastructure-related links such as optical communications and PCB—retain
strong near-term visibility; semiconductor and compute names require careful
alignment of fundamentals and valuations, and tech growth may increasingly
diverge. Innovation-stage drugmakers entering clinical-data validation merit
bottom-up selection. 2) Cyclical recovery: an expanding set of sectors are
rebounding from cycle troughs; factor in geopolitics and capacity-cycle
positions and favour areas with improving earnings and tighter supply-demand,
including power-grid equipment, petrochemicals/chemicals, construction
machinery, and non-bank financials that benefit from stronger capital markets.
Nonferrous metals, after heavy adjustment, also deserve attention. Pure
domestic-demand sectors show slower recovery and require further observation.