Riksbank minutes said if higher‑than‑expected inflation this summer proves
persistent, a policy rate increase later this year remains possible. The bank
left the policy rate at 1.75% at its last meeting. Governor Thedéen said the
next policy move would need to be a rate increase but timing is uncertain. The
minutes described a mixed outlook: headline inflation is low at 0.7% YoY in
July; growth has picked up while firms' pricing plans remain muted, oil has
retreated and the labour market is weak. Risks cited include election‑year
temporary tax cuts boosting headline inflation, underlying price pressures
running hotter than expected over the summer, and the Middle East conflict
spilling over and pushing domestic prices higher.