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Ofgem said on Wednesday the household energy price cap will rise 4% to £1,723 from Oct 1, the highest level since January 2024, as Middle East conflict pushes gas and power wholesale prices higher. Energy UK analysis shows household energy arrears have reached £6 bln year-to-date and could hit £7 bln by end-December; the energy minister said Tuesday extra support is being considered. Since late February, after the outbreak of war in Iran disrupted supplies, near-month UK gas futures have roughly doubled and corresponding power contracts have risen about 70%. The Bank of England is monitoring energy prices; July CPI rose 2.9% YoY, largely driven by a 13% uplift in the household energy cap that month.

US headline PCE price index YoY 3.7% in July, unchanged from June; market had expected a slight decline to 3.6%.