JP Morgan economist Takuho Morimoto says underlying inflation in the Tokyo
metropolitan area may be materially higher than official readings. After
stripping policy subsidies such as discounts to utility bills and childcare
fees, CPI excluding fresh food and energy could be around 2.5% versus the 2.0%
released on Friday and above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target. "We expect inflation
to accelerate further before year‑end, which will increase pressure on the Bank
of Japan and raise the risk that delayed policy response could prove costly," he
said.