Poland projects GDP growth slowing to 2.0% by 2030 as the government tightens to
address a fiscal deficit above 7% of GDP, according to a draft 2025 budget law
published Friday. The finance ministry expects growth to ease from 3.6% in 2026
to 2.1% in 2029 and 2.0% in 2030 as investment and private consumption cool.
Inflation is forecast to slow to 2.5% by 2030. Measures planned in 2029–30 to
meet prudential rules will further weigh on growth, the ministry said. It
flagged geopolitical risks from the Middle East and developments in neighbouring
Ukraine. Prime Minister Tusk said rising Russia–Europe tensions make the next
seven to eight months a critical period.
