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German inf rose slightly in August, reinforcing the case for an ECB rate hike next month. Consumer prices were up 2.9% YoY in August versus 2.8% in July and the highest since April, but below the median analyst estimate of 3.1%. Energy was the main driver amid the continued absence of a Middle East peace deal; services and food eased. Similar data from France and Spain show oil and gas are lifting regional inflation, increasing pressure on the ECB, which has already tightened once and is widely expected to hike on Sept 10. Traders are pricing further monetary tightening into next year.

REUTERS SURVEY — Saudi Arabia may raise October official selling prices (OSP) to Asia by $2–6/bbl after Middle East spot crude tightened and demand strengthened, five refinery sources said. Arab Light is expected to be set at parity with the Oman/Dubai average or up to $4/bbl over that benchmark, implying October OSPs $2–6/bbl higher than September. September OSPs were at a discount, the weakest in six years. Middle East spot strength: Dubai spot premium to swaps reached $13.58/bbl on Aug. 21 (highest since late May); the month-to-date average premium is about $9.71/bbl versus $1.26 in July. Oman spot differentials have widened similarly.