Traders say the Reserve Bank of India may sell dollars before the spot market opens to support the rupee.

S&P GSCI agriculture spot index rose for 11 consecutive sessions through Aug 28, gaining 13.4% cumulatively; it fell 0.74% on Aug 31, ending the streak. The move was supply-driven: attacks on Black Sea shipping have pushed Russia to reroute grain via the Baltic, but alternative corridors are estimated to cover at most about half the shortfall. FAO data show July global cereal prices up 3.4% MoM and wheat up 5.8% MoM; the FAO food price index rose just 0.6% as meat and dairy prices eased. This appears to be an advance signal for food inflation rather than confirmation of a broad inflation restart. Key market variables are the duration of Black Sea disruption and whether gains in wheat spread to oils, meat and retail prices.

Brazil Vice President Geraldo Alckmin said the government will deliver a steadily rising primary surplus.