Federal Reserve Governor Waller said the Fed must adopt a clear, consistent
policy reaction function so markets can form expectations; quantitative
imperfections in a reaction function are tolerable, but its qualitative clarity
is essential, and his view on the function’s completeness differs sharply from
Fed Chair Warsh. Waller said surprising markets is unhelpful and criticized a
‘‘never explain’’ approach to communication, arguing it is better to disclose
some forward policy signaling. He warned there are strong internal disagreements
over communication—including last year’s vocal opposition to scenario
analysis—and said outcomes from the communication workgroup are uncertain. On
balance-sheet policy, Waller said the working group will oppose any
recommendations that would push reserves back toward scarcity. For the data
workgroup he emphasized protecting trust by using verifiable data, and said the
inflation workgroup may be the most useful to the FOMC.