Goldman Sachs said oil could rebound to $120/bbl if attacks on shipping in the
Middle East increase, and recommended investors go long natural gas and diesel.
A Goldman Sachs co-head of global commodities research said recent events show
the risk of widening shipping disruptions cannot be ignored. The bank also
models a downside case of $80/bbl if regional exports return to normal, and
flagged that supply shocks are larger in European gas and refined products than
in crude, so those markets are preferable for hedging geopolitical risk.