Morgan Stanley global oil trading co-head Brendan Ross said the Russia-Ukraine
conflict and fighting in the Middle East have driven traders to shorten tenor
and pare broad derivatives exposure. Market participants are concentrating
positions in near-dated maturities—effectively trading only the next 3-6
months—becoming more selective and risk-focused. That shift toward specific
instruments has reduced liquidity in long-dated contracts and amplified
liquidity cycles. Ross said the physical/financial dislocation is concentrated
in the refined products market.