Goldman Sachs said its fair-value forecast of $4,900/oz for gold at end-2026 is conditional on the assumption of continued strong central bank demand.

U.S. August CPI rose 0.4% MoM, in line with consensus; gasoline jumped 3.9% and accounted for over one-third of the monthly rise, while shelter accelerated 0.3% MoM, the biggest increase in three months. Core CPI (ex food and energy) rose 0.3% MoM — only 9 of 73 surveyed economists had forecast that — with wireless phone service, airfares, used cars and education the largest contributors. Headline YoY inflation was 3.4% and core YoY 2.4%, both matching medians; core YoY was the smallest since spring 2021. Prices for computer software and accessories surged 25.4% YoY, a record, reflecting AI-related investment. Economists say the print increases the case for a Fed rate hike on Sept. 16; a Fed-watched gauge of the share of categories with rising prices did not retreat. U.S. stock futures held gains after the release; the S&P 500 opened up about 0.9% and the 2‑yr yield, after touching the highest level of 2024 earlier, was roughly flat at 4.59%.

美国9月密歇根大学预期指数初值 45.8，预期50.5，前值51.5。