Japan is considering a medium-term defence spending target of about 3.5% of GDP
to align with NATO and US allies; officials have indicated willingness to
sharply increase defence outlays. One option under discussion would mirror South
Korea’s 10‑year pledge to raise defence spending to 3.5% of GDP; a lower target
around 3% remains possible. Markets flagged the risk of large-scale government
borrowing as Japan’s funding costs climb: 10‑year JGB yields earlier this month
hit 3% for the first time since 1996. At the time of reporting the 5‑year JGB
yield rose to a record 2.315% and the 30‑year yield was up 5.5 bps at 4.12%.