Mizuho Securities economist Shota Amano said sustained high energy costs are
likely to keep Japan running a trade deficit for some time. Strong AI and
semiconductor demand may support further export growth, but elevated energy
prices and higher costs for substitute procurement are expected to boost imports
and outpace export gains, maintaining a near-term deficit. He added that a
decline in energy prices would likely shift the trade balance back toward
improvement. Japan posted a ¥1.1056 tln trade deficit in August, the largest
since January.