The United Nations Global Risks Report 2026 shows large-scale war rose 16
places—the biggest jump—among 28 global risks versus the 2024 inaugural survey.
36% of respondents said a large-scale war could occur within one year; 76% said
within seven years. Perceived risks that also climbed sharply include a global
financial crisis, supply‑chain collapse and cybersecurity threats; the largest
falls were biodiversity loss, widespread pollution and natural resource
scarcity. The report notes respondents in 2026 placed less emphasis on
environmental risks overall, though climate inaction, natural disasters and
resource shortages remain material concerns.