Oxford Economics says limited second‑round inflationary effects give the Bank of England's MPC room to keep rates unchanged. It expects Green, Pill and Mann to still favour a hike, leaving a 6-3 vote to hold. Rising oil and gas prices are an upside risk, but Oxford expects most members to remain patient and retain a hawkish bias rather than tighten immediately.

2026-09-17

Oxford Economics says limited second‑round inflationary effects give the Bank of England's MPC room to keep rates unchanged. It expects Green, Pill and Mann to still favour a hike, leaving a 6-3 vote to hold. Rising oil and gas prices are an upside risk, but Oxford expects most members to remain patient and retain a hawkish bias rather than tighten immediately.