ECB monthly survey published Friday showed euro-area households’ inflation expectations rose in August: one-year CPI expectations 3.0% (July 2.9%), three-year (policy-relevant) up to 2.9% from 2.7%, and five-year expectations also increased. Investors have priced further ECB tightening after the central bank’s second deposit-rate hike this month, reinforcing prior expectations. ECB officials cited a renewed oil and gas price spike tied to the Iran war, which began in February and remains unresol

2026-09-18

ECB monthly survey published Friday showed euro-area households’ inflation expectations rose in August: one-year CPI expectations 3.0% (July 2.9%), three-year (policy-relevant) up to 2.9% from 2.7%, and five-year expectations also increased. Investors have priced further ECB tightening after the central bank’s second deposit-rate hike this month, reinforcing prior expectations. ECB officials cited a renewed oil and gas price spike tied to the Iran war, which began in February and remains unresolved, as a driver of the move.