Zhang Bin, deputy director at the Institute of World Economics and Politics,
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said at the Tsinghua Wudaokou Chief
Economist Forum on Sept. 19 that China’s main imbalance is an aggregate
supply–demand mismatch—supply outstrips demand. He identified weak business and
household expectations as the core cause, creating a self‑reinforcing negative
cycle; he called this a market failure that requires forceful external
intervention and said the most effective response is to scale up countercyclical
policy.