【美联储10月加息的概率为56.5%】据CME“美联储观察”：美联储10月会议维持利率在3.75%-4.00%不变的概率为43.5%，加息25个基点的概率为56.5%。美联储到12月维持利率在3.75%-4.00%不变的概率为10.2%%，累计加息25个基点的概率为46.6%，累计加息50个基点的概率为33.3%。

Shanghai Gold Exchange gold T+D rose 0.45% in early trade on Monday Sept 21 to 946.2 yuan/gram; silver T+D rose 1.2% to 16,250 yuan/kg.

Iran's Intelligence Ministry said on Sep 20 it recently dismantled three terror cells in Alborz, Kerman and West Azerbaijan provinces that it said were linked to the US and Israel; operations led to multiple arrests and several militants killed. Iran said on Sep 19 a man accused of providing Israeli intelligence with information on Iranian military bases was executed, and in August the judiciary said it executed two alleged spies for supplying coordinates, images and other intelligence on Iranian military and security sites to Israeli intelligence.