Barclays said its oil-price forecast is increasingly skewed to the upside amid
Middle East developments and resilient demand. If the current situation
persists, oil could rise roughly 50% from current levels before the market
rebalances. Inventory and demand indicators point to significant upside before
supply and demand normalize. Non‑OPEC supply response has been limited so far
but may change in coming months due to production adjustment lags; excluding
Brazil, non‑OPEC output growth has not materially exceeded expectations.