国际天然气联盟：伊朗战争导致全球天然气市场定价持续紧张。

At a Sept. 23 briefing the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council said desire for peace, development, exchange and cooperation is the mainstream sentiment in Taiwan. The office said the mainland will continue to uphold a cross‑strait kinship approach, roll out further Taiwan‑benefit policies, strengthen institutional support for cross‑strait integration, actively promote people‑to‑people exchanges and sector cooperation, and welcome Taiwanese participation to share opportunities from Chinese‑style modernization.

Fitch expects the oil market to return to a large surplus in 2027. The agency still sees prices falling next year but has raised its 2027 price forecast to $70/bbl from $65/bbl, citing a longer-than-expected Middle East conflict and a higher geopolitical risk premium. Analysts Brian Coulton and Alex Muscatelli say forecasts carry high uncertainty; a US–Iran agreement in Q1 2027 could shift price determination back toward supply-demand fundamentals. Upside risk: sustained geopolitical uncertainty could lift next year’s average to $85/bbl; downside risk: rapid supply restoration could push it to $55/bbl.