欧洲复兴开发银行：黎巴嫩经济将在2026年因与以色列的冲突收缩5%，预计2027年将反弹4%。

Several leading German economic research institutes said they have more than doubled their joint growth forecast after the economy outperformed in 1H. They now expect GDP to rise 1.3% in 2026, up from a spring forecast of 0.6%. They lifted the next-year forecast from 0.9% to 1.1% and see growth slowing to 0.4% in 2028. Outperformance in 1H was driven by exports, manufacturing and substantial public spending; strong global demand and an AI-driven boost offset weak investment and consumption. The institutes expect the recovery to continue into 2027 supported by consumption and housing, but to lose momentum in 2028 as a shrinking labour force and weaker potential growth increasingly constrain output.

俄外交部：一旦美国或《全面禁止核试验条约》其他缔约国进行核试验，俄方将采取应有的回应措施。